Paul's Bellingham Blog

My thoughts on Bellingham, the Real Estate market, and more

1st Quarter of 2012 in Review. Is Market Rebounding?

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Reviewing the numbers for Bellingham Real Estate along with all of Whatcom County, the numbers are essentially all positive. Home sales are up, and inventory is down. This is the exact formula needed to provide a more ideal level of supply and demand, and in turn, finally stop the slide in home values. Market values in our area have been dropping for 4 years, but it has been at such a slow and steady pace, it’s been difficult to pin down when we were going to “hit the bottom”. Finall, in more and more segments of the market, the numbers are showing values stabilizing.

See this chart below for Whatcom County over the last 15 months.

Notice the January/Ferbuary/March numbers compared from 2011 to 2012. Closed sales and pending sales up (in February and March), and homes available For Sale are way below last year..

Another way to look at the same numbers and figure out what direction the market is heading is to look at the absorption rate.. This is a basic formula where you take how many houses for sale today, and divide that number by how many sold last month. An example: 200 homes for sale divided by 20 homes sold would be a 10 month supply.

You can see that supply of housing dropped substantially to under 7 months by the end of March. A 4 to 8 month supply of housing is considered a solid Real Estate Market. Under 4 months and prices are usually going up. Above 8 and prices are usually coming down.

If the current trend continues in the 2nd quarter, home values will continue to stabilize and may start to actually–dare I say “appreciate” in some of the lower priced/high demand sections of the market.

The first signs of our local market bouncing back a bit has indeed arrived, but much of the pace of the recovery will depend on the foreclosures and short sales. The amount of foreclosures coming on the market has dropped off substantially in the last 3 to 4 months. The smart money is on watching the numbers on the pace of foreclosures coming on the market this spring and summer. If they continue to just trickle on at a slower pace, that is good news for home values. If there is a back-log of foreclosures that are still coming in  mass waves, that will slow down this recovery.

In my next blog I will be exploring if there is a “shadow inventory” of bank repo’s that are yet to hit the market.

Market Update: Looking back at 2011 and What’s Ahead in 2012

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In looking at all of the numbers from 2012, their is many positive signs. Year over year, sales were up slightly, yet inventory has come down note-ably in all areas and price ranges in Whatcom County.

The most recent snapshot of Whatcom County home sales is December (see chart below). 144 homes closed in December of 2010, and exactly 144 homes also sold in December of 2011. Pretty amazing how that number is exactly the same. But the good news was that inventory dropped from 1,287 homes available in 2010, to 1,150 in 2011.  And pending home sales (homes under contract) rose slightly from 97 at the end of 2010, to 102 at the end of 2011. That is the good news..

The sobering numbers are found looking at home prices. The average dollar per sq foot a home was selling for in December of 2010 was $157, compared to $134 at the end of 2011, and the medium home price dropped from $252,000 to $229,000.

So values have still been dropping substantially over the last year in Whatcom County, but the numbers vary depending on the city and price range within the County you are in.

Bellingham home values were down less then 4% in 2011, compared to most areas of the county experiencing between 5 and 7% drops in home value. Sudden Valley took the biggest hit, with home values dropping by 8% in 2011.

So home values have continued to slowly decline, but all signs point to that trend slowing down and values leveling out. This is especially true in Bellingham, and in the lower end of the market (under $300,000).

So what’s the take away?

For sellers who are serious about pricing there home right, there is less competition, and homes are selling faster.  And with prices leveling out in most areas of the market, you can price your home right and have a good chance of selling and getting a reasonable offer. The other good news is the average home is selling closer to asking price right now then it was a year ago. Buyers are paying an average of 96% of list price compared to an average of 94% of list price in 2010. More and more of the really good deals are seeing multiple offers again as well!

For buyers, interest rates are back down at all-time lows (around 4.0% for 30 year lock) and there is opportunities every day in this market.  So it will continue to be an excellent time to buy in 2012.

Video answering questions about Fannie Mae homes and HomePath

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I have created a video answering the most frequently asked questions I get about Fannie Mae foreclosed homes for sale in Whatcom and Skagit county. No matter what area you are looking in, this is a must-watch video if you considering investing in a Fannie Mae home for sale, and/or are interested in HomePath financing.

http://youtu.be/X9N11HDb1C4

Benefits of HomePath financing

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In Whatcom County, there is typically somewhere in the neighborhood of 30 to 60 homes for sale owned by Fannie Mae. These Fannie Mae homes have a special financing program available called HomePath, that many buyers are not aware of. HomePath is an excellent financing option, especially for those buyers and investors considering putting less than 20% down.

Benefits of HomePath financing include:

-No Mortgage insurance. Buyers putting less than 20% down have to pay a mortgage insurance premium on every type of loan that is available except HomePath. The only exception is V.A. financing for veterans.

-No Appraisal. This saves you about $550 in up front costs. It also gives you the potential to close quicker (and make your offer stronger). Many times these homes are difficult to finance because the lenders appraiser will call out issues with the home. This allows you to avoid this potential complication and hoop to jump through

-As little as 3% down for owner occupied buyers. FHA is 3.5% down, and the minimum with conventional is 5% down.

USDA offers ZERO down, but that program is only available if you are looking outside city limits of Bellingham and there is income restrictions on how much you can be making to qualify.

-Investors, as little as 10% down. Almost every financing program for investors who want competitive interest rates is 20 to 25% down. Investors can buy with 10% down, and again, no mortgage insurance and a competive interest rate. This allows investors to keep more liquidity, and still find a home that will cash flow without as much money down.

Not every lender offers HomePath. The local lenders I am aware of that offer HomePath in Whatcom County include: Wells Fargo, Bank of the Pacific, People’s Bank, Guild Mortgage, Neighborhood Mortgage, and Envoy Mortgage.

If you get qualified with a loan officer in advance who offers this program, you will be better prepared if a Fannie Mae foreclosed listing comes on the market that is of interest to you. You can find Fannie Mae listings on www.Homepath.com, and I also feature many of them on my website under featured foreclosures in Whatcom County.  

2011 Mid-Year Market Update

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The 1st half statistics for Whatcom County Real Estate for 2011 show a trend that is generally positive. Home sales are steady and very similar to last years numbers, but the amount of homes for sale has been steadily down from 2010, month over month. In June of 2010 there was 1,846 homes for sale in Whatcom County, compared to 1,579 at the end of June.

Pending home sales this summer have also increased, with 228 pending home sales at the end of June 2011, compared to just 160 pending sales in June of 2010.

These are good indicators that we may indeed be at or very near the “bottom” as far as home values go. Looking at the chart, it appears the Whatcom County Real Estate market is improving in a meaningful way over the last few months. But there is still a steady flow of home foreclosures and shortsales coming on the market, which will keep prices down for the fore-see able future.

In summary, with interest rates at near all time low levels, and home values nearing or at the bottom (depending on price range and neighborhood), this is with out question a good time to buy. For home owners, there is no sign yet of any current rebound in home values..BUT pending home sales increasing this summer, and inventory shrinking, is the first step to prices leveling out, and then slowly appreciating again.  

2 listings on Auction.com available now

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If you have ever visited Auction.com, it can be a little confusing. They have homes with “starting bid” prices advertised that seem amazingly low, and these starting prices appear (and often times are) too good to be true. With that said, there is an opportunity with many of the listings to put in a reasonable bid and get your offer accepted before the auction date…and often times at a price well below market value. Typically in this situation, you can still finance the property, and you can still use your Realtor to help you through the process.

I have two listings now available on auction. A 4 bedroom, 2.75 bath home in Bow, WA (in town of Edison) on waterfront for 284,900.

Also a 2 bedroom condo in Birch Bay with partial bay views for $154,900.

Both of these have starting bids that are very and both of these will probably sell for a price substantially lower than the asking prices. These are both excellent values, and this gives you a unique opportunity to get a great deal through the auction and still have time to finance the property. In many cases on auction day, it is cash offers only.

You do want to do your homework first. These properties are being sold “as is” with no inspection contingency, so you want to be comfortable with the condition of the property first. You do have the opportunity to finance the property if they accept your bid, but you are required to have as much as 5% deposit paid up front in the form of a cashiers check if your bid is approved.

For more details and terms, be sure to visit auction.com or contact me for more information.

Press Release for achieving Green Designation

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LOCAL REALTOR® ACHIEVES NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® GREEN DESIGNATION

June 1st, 2011

Bellingham, WA – Paul Balzotti with John L Scott Real Estate has been awarded the National Association of REALTORS®’ [NAR’s] Green Designation, the only green real estate professional designation recognized by NAR.
Balzotti achieved this prestigious designation after completing 18 hours of course work designed specifically for REALTORS®. The courses were created in collaboration with a multidisciplinary team of industry experts from across the country; ensuring designees gain comprehensive knowledge of green homes and buildings and issues of sustainability in relation to real estate.
More specifically, Balzotti was trained in understanding what makes a property green, helping clients evaluate the cost/benefits of green building features and practices, distinguishing between industry rating and classification systems, listing and marketing green homes and buildings, discussing the financial grants and incentives available to homeowners, and helping consumers see a property’s green potential.
“Living green is about making healthy choices that are also easy on your wallet. NAR Green Designees have the necessary resources & relationships to effectively work with you on your next green project.” said Al Medina, Director of NAR’s Green Designation. NAR’s Green Designation was developed in response to growing consumer awareness of the benefits of resource-efficient homes and buildings. The designation helps consumers who care about energy efficiency and sustainable building practices identify REALTORS® who can help them realize their green real estate and lifestyle goals.
As an NAR Green Designee, Balzotti has gained the knowledge and the tools necessary to become a trusted green resource for Bellingham. For more information about Paul Balzotti, please visit www.PaulBalzotti.com or e-mail paulbalzotti@johnlscott.com.

For more information about NAR’s Green Designation, visit www.greenresourcecouncil.org

Washington State still has a First Time Buyer Tax Credit

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 There is a little known tax credit in Washington state for first time home buyers! It is called a Mortgage Credit Certificate .It is a federal income tax credit (cash back) for the interest you are paying on your new mortgage. It can save you money monthly, with less dollars withheld from your paycheck every month. This tax credit is good for the life of the loan, which can save you thousands of dollars every year!

Here is an example:

On a $250,000 loan amount, at a 5% interest rate, that ends up being about $12,500 in interest paid in the first full year of mortgage payments. Now multiply that interest paid by 20%, and you have your tax credit ($2,500). Dividing $2,500 by 12 months, it is a savings of $208 a month in your first year!

Not all lenders are participating, so check with your lender to find out if they are participating. Or contact me for a list of local lenders I can recommend that can help.

Program guidelines include:

1-2 persons must make $70,000 or less annual income in Whatcom/Skagit County.

Family of 3 more must make less than $80,000 annual income in Whatcom/Skagit County.

$300,000 is the maximum purchase in Whatcom County.

$285,000 is the maximum purchase amount in Skagit County.

You must plan on owner occupying the home.

There is  a First Time Home Buyer class you need to take, hosted by the Washington Finance Commission. You can find dates and locations by clicking here.

1st Quarter of 2011 Bellingham Real Estate Update

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The March statistics are out, and over all, housing numbers are positive for Bellingham for the 1st quarter of 2011.

155 homes sold in the first 3 months of 2011, compared to 149 in 2010. and the amount of homes for sale in Bellingham is down dramatically (434 homes on the market now, compared to 548 in March of 2010) . In order for the Real Estate market to bottom out, the amount of available inventory needs to shrink like this, so this is a positive indicator. Another positive indicator was the jump in new pending home sales in March.

Home prices did continue to slide vary slightly, but under $300,000 we have seen home prices stabilize in Bellingham.

Frequently Asked Questions about buying Government Owned Homes

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Government Owned properties (HUD and Fannie Mae) have their own set of rules and contracts, and I get a lot of questions from interested buyers looking in Bellingham and through Whatcom and Skagit County. There is many similarities between buying one of these properties and other bank owned properties, but many differences as well. This blog post is also posted on my website.

Is the process of buying a government owned home take longer than a normal sale?

Not necessarily. Once you are under contract on one of these properties, you can typically finance the home and close in 30-45 days. This is the same average time it takes to close on any property. If you are paying cash, you can often times close in less than 2 weeks.

Are these properties being sold “as is”? And do I have the chance to do an inspection? 

Yes, they are being sold “as is”. But Fannie Mae and HUD homes, along with most bank owned homes allow for an inspection contingency, which can be found in the HUD and Fannie Mae contracts. In most cases, you have 7 or 10 days to hire an inspector or do your own inspection of the property. If you find more problems than expected, you can back out and get your earnest money deposit back.

In some cases, if there is a major issue that comes up (like a major leak) there is a chance the seller may consider addressing the repair. With Fannie Mae owned homes, any issue that your appraiser points out (dry rot on the siding would be an example) will often times be addressed. Fannie Mae will always consider repairing issues that are  required by your lender. HUD has a more strict “as is” policy, and will not consider fixing lender required repairs.

I always recommend negotiating your offer with the expectation that there will be some issues that will come up in the inspection, that you will need to deal with on your own.

I am an investor who plans to rent or flip the property. When can I submit my offer? 

With Fannie Mae owned properties, you need to wait 15 days. For the first 15 days, it’s listed as a “First Look” property and is available to owner occupied buyers only. Starting on day 16, investors are free to write an offer. The only exception is buyers using public funds through (a non-profit organization would be an example).

With HUD homes, the First Look period for owner occupied buyers is the first 30 days. Investors may write an offer on day 31.

What does Fannie Mae and HUD consider “owner occupied”?

You must intend to occupy the property as your primary residence within 60 days of closing, and maintain the occupancy for 1 year. You also must sign an owner occupancy certificate acknowledging this before submitting your offer.

What is HomePath financing and what are the advantages of this program? 

HomePath financing is a special program offered on most Fannie Mae properties. The advantages of HomePath financing include:

-Only 3% down and no appraisal (therefore no appraisal fee, which typically runs around $500)

-No mortgage insurance. Mortgage insurance is a fee that is included in most other programs where you are putting less than 20% down. This can be a significant savings!

-You can get qualified with less than perfect credit.

-HomePath is available for investors as well as owner occupied buyers. HomePath is also available for renovation loans.

Who offers HomePath financing?

In Whatcom County, lenders I recommend offering HomePath include Wells Fargo, Bank of the Pacific, Guild Mortgage, Neighborhood Mortgage, and Homestead Mortgage. There is other low down programs available to finance many of these properties as well. 3.5% down FHA and No-Down USDA are the two most popular programs. A loan officer will be able to help you figure out which loan is best for you.

I read with HUD homes, you need to submit an on-line bid. This sounds complicated.

These homes, acquired by the Department of Housing and Urban Development, are the result of a foreclosure on an FHA-insured mortgage

Writing an offer on a HUD home is a little more complex and I’d recommend you use a HUD certified broker (yes, I am one!). But if you have a buyers agent you are working with, your agent can also get certified, so you should check with your agent first if considering a HUD home. 

With HUD homes that are new on the market, they do not review bids until 11 days after it’s listed. So the first 10 days you can submit your bid, but you must wait until day 11 to get a response. As noted previously, HUD homes are not open to investors until day 31.

When you submit a bid on a HUD home, you often times have a response within 1-2 business days. Once you have an accepted bid, the inspection and financing process are not much different than buying any other property. It is “as is”, and the main difference is it’s up to you and your agent to deal with getting utilities turned on to inspect the home.

When considering offers, does the seller factor in the tax assessed value?

No. The tax assessment has nothing to do with how the seller is going to determine the list price or what offer price to accept.

Will the seller look at low-ball offers? What is a good strategy on negotiating? 

Before these properties are listed, they are appraised, and usually by two sources. Although they are motivated to sell these properties, they are also motivated to get as much for them as they can. Still, they are typically priced for a quick sale. If you recognize the value and want the property, I recommend you write a serious offer. Writing an extremely low offer can sometimes be counter productive. If it is a new listing and priced well, you may miss out. Many of these properties have multiple offers.

If you are only interested in the property at a much lower price than listed, you can still write an offer and try. But it might make sense to wait. These properties will reduce in price if they are not sold, and often times the best deals are on the properties that need more work,  or were listed too high initially. Then when the price is reduced, you can sometimes negotiate a price that is far below “market value” if your timing is right.

Also, don’t forget about a property if you see it pending and under contract. Many deals fall apart because of financing, or inspection. It’s important to stay alert and let your Realtor know if you want to be notified if it goes back on the market.

I work with these properties and all homes, lots, and condos for sale in Bellingham, Ferndale, Lynden, Deming, Everson, Nooksack, Custer, Blaine/Birch Bay, as well as North Skagit County homes–Sedro Woolley, Burlington, Mount Vernon, Bow, and Anacortes. You can contact me here with any further questions.